Tough-Environment
0x564bf7df57aea9256c84c69a781c1542c2a21eef
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$41.89
Total PnL
$-32.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
103 shares @ 17.5¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.08
$19.08
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?
368 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Solana all time high before 2026?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2025?
23 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $170 November 24-30?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $160 November 24-30?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.17May 17, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?$10.40May 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?$5.21May 17, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?$3.13May 17, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?$0.91Feb 22, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.93Feb 22, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.00Feb 22, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $0.00Feb 22, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.38Feb 22, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $3.13Feb 22, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: February$0.00Feb 22, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: February$4.55Feb 22, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$2.00Feb 2, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2.00Feb 2, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 November 24-30?$1.00Nov 26, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 November 24-30?$1.00Nov 26, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 12, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.00Nov 12, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rabby launch a token in 2025?$1.13Nov 12, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high before 2026?$10.00Nov 7, 21:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".