Silly-Obesity
0x565a173d19e6de9eb41696549c5888bc92882c4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$1.28
Total PnL
$-53.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
10 shares @ 10.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
6175 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.35
- YES
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- GLOBAL ESPORTS
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 17?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 16?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 17?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on April 17?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?
619 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?$2.00Apr 18, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on April 17?$1.00Apr 18, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.00Apr 18, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.00Apr 18, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00Apr 18, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00Apr 18, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00Apr 18, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 40m?$1.00Apr 18, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?$1.00Apr 18, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?$1.00Apr 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 18, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 18, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 18, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 09:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".