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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Nov 30, 2026

Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.4pp

24h Vol

$11.81

Liquidity

$4.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.4pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:21
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5241h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $4.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5240.6h

    LOW
  • 15:21Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5241h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.8pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.8pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.6pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.7pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.2pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.6pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Nov 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22Ambiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).