That-Bore
0x565af3f8689747c5395ccd6d36d28cd5c328cbe3
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$6.8K
Total PnL
$776.42
Realised
$25.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4601 shares @ 21.5¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.8K
$804.01
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4600 shares @ 14.8¢·now 21.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$991.30
$312.49
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4600 shares @ 17.1¢·now 21.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$977.53
$189.31
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$905.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4600 shares @ 11.5¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$797.60
$266.35
- NO
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 3.3% and 3.5%?
475 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$473.91
$4.03
- NO
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
445 shares @ 57.6¢·now 58.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$258.26
$1.60
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
300 shares @ 40.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$181.50
$61.50
- NO
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be at least 3.6%?
141 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$140.55
$0.74
- NO
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 2.7% and 2.9%?
119 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$118.10
$0.77
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.43Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.61Jul 13, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?$10.43Jul 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.12Jul 13, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.73Jul 13, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.45Jul 13, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.09Jul 13, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$181.19Jul 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$217.27Jul 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$224.47Jul 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$400.88Jul 13, 13:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 9, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$81.54Jul 8, 13:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$910.00Jul 6, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $126.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.