Frosty-Pimple
0x5667fe53f86b9e6d5676dfc4467388b94a921d5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$27.31
Total PnL
$-107.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
112 shares @ 35.6¢·now 24.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$27.31
$-12.45
- NO
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
275 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
200 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
83 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
21 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-15.45
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$41.04Jul 20, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.32Jul 20, 10:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.24May 25, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12May 25, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.26May 15, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.50May 15, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.53May 15, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$46.74May 14, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.09May 14, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.18May 14, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.15May 14, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$5.25May 14, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$5.25May 14, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$25.87May 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$15.45Jul 13, 14:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $15.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 20:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.