International-Mission
0x56835c3fb9814b0b975837c1ff580530109ff3bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$4.79
Total PnL
$-246.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 9.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.63
$0.63
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 17.7¢·now 12.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.42
$-0.58
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
21 shares @ 9.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.74
$-1.26
- YES
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
14 shares @ 14.7¢·now 3.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-1.50
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
36 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.27
$-2.23
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.23
$-0.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
1077 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Tim Walz drop out by March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$359.42Jul 19, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jul 19, 23:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.98Jul 14, 20:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.00Jul 11, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$2.14Jul 11, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.50Jul 11, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jul 11, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$5.18Jul 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$5.20Jul 11, 22:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $60.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.