Precious-Painting
0x56bea3503f5b9dfa2a8495a24f811f44b3268cff
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$763.17
Total PnL
$-183.35
Realised
$-8.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
263 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$249.85
$7.89
- NO
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
150 shares @ 65.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Oct 3, 2026$148.35
$50.91
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$86.50
$1.50
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
62 shares @ 70.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.34
$13.53
- NO
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
58 shares @ 64.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$51.94
$14.76
- NO
Will Trump nationalize elections?
53 shares @ 69.5¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.71
$3.71
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.36
$3.16
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
30 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.35
$3.45
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
40 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.40
$0.20
- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.89
$2.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$46.76Jul 25, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$38.24Jul 25, 07:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$12.17Jul 24, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$5.03Jul 24, 04:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$20.00Jul 23, 11:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $25.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.