Standard-Determination
0x56f0f85ed4c4723a12a57d4e4a4aea0ce8a814ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-160.47
Realised
$0.53
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?
9770 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.42
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
926 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
484 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-78.08
- YES
Netanyahu out by April 30?
156 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.50
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
125 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$11.03Apr 21, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$5.60Apr 21, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$10.00Apr 19, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$10.00Apr 19, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$5.00Apr 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$16.43Apr 12, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$5.00Apr 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$10.00Apr 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$14.73Mar 27, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$16.83Mar 25, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$10.00Mar 24, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$15.00Mar 23, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$15.00Mar 23, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$9.38Mar 20, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$10.80Mar 20, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$22.22Mar 19, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$23.62Mar 19, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$25.00Mar 19, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$50.00Mar 19, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$43.08Jan 10, 21:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $17.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 12:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.