Same-Gaffer
0x5711cd9ab23468a4417c2c5451f32cb0006f63e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$93.82
Total PnL
$2.12
Realised
$2.30
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
11 shares @ 92.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.85
$0.85
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
10 shares @ 86.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.45
$1.45
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
10 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.19
$0.19
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
8 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.53
$0.53
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
6 shares @ 77.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.34
$1.34
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 58.6¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.57
$1.57
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
5 shares @ 60.6¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.61
$1.60
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10 shares @ 52.2¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.17
$-0.83
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
4 shares @ 85.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.50
$0.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.45
$0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 5, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.00May 5, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$2.00May 4, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 4, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 4, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$2.01May 4, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.00May 4, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$2.00May 4, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$5.00May 4, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$2.01May 4, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$15.73May 4, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$3.01May 3, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$2.00May 3, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$2.02May 3, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?$1.00May 3, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$1.02May 3, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard out by June 30?$2.02May 3, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$4.00May 3, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$4.18May 3, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$2.00May 3, 06:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 08:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.