Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
Probability
33¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$392.76
Liquidity
$19.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+8.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1582.3h
- 01:43SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1582h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 34¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 34¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 34¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 34¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 34¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 34¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 34¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 34¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 32¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 35¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard ceases to be the Director of National Intelligence for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gabbard's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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