Profitable-Punishment
0x57394699483d558a931af31fb10ffe250eddb180
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$138.77
Realised
$77.91
Win rate
68%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
266 shares @ 54.2¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$144.97
$0.69
- NO
Neutrl FDV above $100M one day after launch?
119 shares @ 63.5¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$101.75
$26.15
- NO
QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?
107 shares @ 67.4¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$63.13
$-9.02
- NO
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?
116 shares @ 27.3¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$57.38
$25.70
- NO
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?
106 shares @ 45.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.45
$2.61
- YES
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?
121 shares @ 46.1¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$49.65
$-6.22
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$46.54
$0.26
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
52 shares @ 74.1¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$39.94
$1.48
- YES
Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?
75 shares @ 65.3¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$39.75
$-9.26
- NO
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?
115 shares @ 25.3¢·now 34.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$39.44
$10.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYQFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?$20.04Jul 28, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$8.91Jul 28, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$8.79Jul 28, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $400M one day after launch?$3.05Jul 28, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStripe IPO before 2027?$1.74Jul 28, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFelix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?$7.07Jul 28, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFelix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?$7.03Jul 28, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNeutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?$7.99Jul 28, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$3.81Jul 28, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$38.96Jul 28, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $400M one day after launch?$3.05Jul 28, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?$42.97Jul 28, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBetmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?$18.14Jul 28, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$3.83Jul 28, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLCambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?$10.53Jul 28, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$5.74Jul 28, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLDreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?$7.62Jul 28, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$16.96Jul 27, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$7.57Jul 27, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$15.90Jul 27, 23:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
77/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
68% win rate over 47 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
47 closed markets, 68% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.