Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Probability
70¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+17.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 70¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14766.5h
Price movement
-3.5pp over the last 24h, now 69¢.
Biggest hourly move: +27.0pp at 3d ago (to 75¢).
Show top 8 of 36 hourly moves
- 1d ago · -13.0pp → 60¢
- 2d ago · -12.5pp → 61¢
- 2d ago · +23.0pp → 71¢
- 2d ago · +15.5pp → 70¢
- 2d ago · +18.0pp → 70¢
- 2d ago · +13.5pp → 63¢
- 3d ago · +27.0pp → 75¢
- 3d ago · +15.5pp → 62¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryusing the total token supply multiplied by the token priceLinkTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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