Quintessential-Elk
0x5754becbe873d6ba9eefa4eedf214dd254ece515
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$64.6K
Total PnL
$-77.6K
Realised
$-7.0K
Win rate
25%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
40000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 66.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.7K
$6.7K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
40000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.3K
$-6.7K
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5728 shares @ 90.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.7K
$498.57
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5811 shares @ 56.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.1K
$1.9K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
15232 shares @ 9.4¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.3K
$2.8K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
6150 shares @ 43.1¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.2K
$548.19
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2222 shares @ 77.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$144.43
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
1587 shares @ 63.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.0K
$31.75
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
1555 shares @ 52.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$979.64
$171.05
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9133 shares @ 10.9¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$881.30
$-118.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$37.21Jun 13, 04:51 UTC
- YIELD$3.77Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.76Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$436.22Jun 11, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$231.11Jun 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$7.28Jun 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$0.51Jun 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$10.74Jun 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.08Jun 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$0.98Jun 11, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$0.98Jun 11, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2.17Jun 11, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$117.53Jun 11, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$513.36Jun 11, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.1KJun 11, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5$196.08Jun 11, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5$625.00Jun 11, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$10.08Jun 11, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$39.04Jun 11, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$33.15Jun 11, 03:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $184.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 04:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.