Parched-Barber
0x579ecec5220e65f27580e74bdc5c4780b350fef5
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-256.58
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
2000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.0K
$275.00
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
2000 shares @ 73.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$170.00
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
500 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$411.50
$21.66
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
4000 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-928.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
4000 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-220.00
- DANIEL RODRIGUEZ
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
2000 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-460.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-510.00
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-660.00
- OVER
O/U 1.5 Rounds
1000 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-290.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
900 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-239.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$2.5KAug 14, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$2.0KAug 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$298.69Aug 11, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$37.28Aug 11, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$100.00Aug 11, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$166.00Aug 11, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$228.03Aug 11, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$416.00Aug 11, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$120.00Aug 9, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$1.5KAug 8, 06:02 UTC
- REWARD$5.00Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$288.58Aug 7, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$302.99Aug 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$145.50Aug 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2.00Aug 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$1.19Aug 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$48.14Aug 7, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$1.4KAug 7, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$489.86Aug 6, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$5.67Aug 6, 17:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
25/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $285.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 16:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.