Alarming-Essential
0x57d03297da51de46fcef50de7b6d91d7988085b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
9733 shares @ 12.1¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$622.88
$-553.96
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
3600 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$324.00
$-180.00
- YES
US x China Military clash before 2027?
3120 shares @ 6.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$233.98
$33.98
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?
3642 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
2390 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.39
- NO
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
640 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-77.63
- NO
Will Team Spirit qualify to the Main Event of ESL Pro League Season 23?
489 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-41.72
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 14, 2026?
401 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.75
- YES
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?
400 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 26, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $44.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 16:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.