0x582a541fa9503beb3c4dac2b55ab7c9f6f332c59
0x582a541fa9503beb3c4dac2b55ab7c9f6f332c59
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$96.08
Total PnL
$-4.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
23 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.55
$0.87
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$20.01
$0.37
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
957 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.01
$1.44
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.80
$0.08
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
84 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.01
$-1.26
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 44.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.34
$1.47
- YES
APYX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 45.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.15
$-1.57
- YES
APYX FDV above $200M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.98
$-1.91
- YES
APYX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.35
$-2.51
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 7.4¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.07
$0.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$2.93May 12, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYAPYX FDV above $500M one day after launch?$4.90May 12, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAPYX FDV above $300M one day after launch?$4.90May 12, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAPYX FDV above $200M one day after launch?$4.92May 12, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$8.12May 12, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?$5.78May 12, 13:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$9.84May 7, 06:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$19.76May 5, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?$2.93May 5, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$4.93May 5, 20:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $6.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".