0x5856f1d98853c8943ef00a7fa41bab691063e2b1
0x5856f1d98853c8943ef00a7fa41bab691063e2b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
10818 shares @ 33.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
60272 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-782.28
- YES
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
8853 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
7641 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
3123 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-172.14
- YES
Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
123 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$2.0KMay 16, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$108.97May 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$108.97May 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$8.65May 16, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$31.46May 15, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$30.83May 15, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.0KMay 15, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$104.85May 15, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$34.92May 15, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$180.27May 15, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$157.37May 15, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$408.64May 15, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$3.6KMar 12, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?$204.38Mar 8, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?$200.00Mar 8, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1000.00Mar 5, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iran next?$0.00Mar 4, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$4.6KMar 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.8KFeb 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.8KFeb 28, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $686.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 22:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.