Frightening-Tenor
0x5857dfc890e445b59863f672aba32a582fded08b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$32.17
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-3.47
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
173 shares @ 3.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.45
$3.59
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 67.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.42
$4.43
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 38.7¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.88
$-2.79
- YES
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
17 shares @ 28.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.48
$0.68
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on February 14?
965 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.29
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
505 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.51
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on February 18?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 23:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".