Muddy-Sled
0x58c898ffcdbc0e5a0f4336b3bec922b2cfaeb1a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$106.66
Total PnL
$-371.13
Realised
$-31.12
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
75 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$49.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
16 shares @ 30.5¢·now 61.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$10.09
$5.09
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$9.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$4.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
143 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
49 shares @ 8.2¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$2.87
$-1.13
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11 shares @ 27.6¢·now 23.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.30
$0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$5.08Jun 15, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25Jun 15, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$10.25Jun 15, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$5.14Jun 15, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$88.24Jun 15, 04:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$45.66Jun 14, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$50.49Jun 14, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?$15.42Jun 14, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$10.29Jun 14, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$10.29Jun 14, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$10.28Jun 14, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?$5.15Jun 14, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.58Jun 14, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$21.18Jun 14, 21:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $16.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 23:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 05:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.