Sophisticated-Fame
0x5921e3fbcb58cdb033b68bc52dacc211c8925028
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$365.04
Total PnL
$-113.87
Realised
$0.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
824 shares @ 53.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$333.90
$-103.05
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
60 shares @ 16.7¢·now 28.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$17.18
$7.18
- YES
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$10.31
$0.31
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 30% and 32.9% in January 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will any of the Big Six EPL clubs miss European football?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 16, 11PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
10 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$409.62Feb 6, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$17.33Feb 4, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$4.41Feb 4, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.88Feb 4, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill EC Vitória win on 2026-01-28?$1.35Feb 4, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$4.00Jan 17, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-17?$1.47Jan 17, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?$1.61Jan 17, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on January 17?$1.28Jan 17, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.63Jan 17, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$7.00Jan 17, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$8.58Jan 17, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$5.00Jan 17, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - January 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1.38Jan 17, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $11.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 04:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 00:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".