Large-Marathon
0x59253f9a0cdf254fa4518fd3aae2541f9e0ab194
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$74.5K
Total PnL
$-157.5K
Realised
$-5.2K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
73925 shares @ 63.5¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.0K
$4.1K
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
48475 shares @ 39.9¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$13.1K
$-6.2K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
10000 shares @ 70.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.4K
$1.4K
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
4000 shares @ 35.6¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$1.7K
$253.96
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$225.00
$25.00
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
346 shares @ 28.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$57.06
$-42.93
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
233374 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-116.9K
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
111975 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.8K
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
61596 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
9774 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-586.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?$404.57Jun 14, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?$1.0KJun 14, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1.4KJun 14, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.0KJun 14, 06:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$2.72Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$7.30Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1.8KJun 13, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$3.44Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1.76Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$7.80Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$503.38Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$145.00Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$54.24Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$727.31Jun 13, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$250.15Jun 13, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$5.6KJun 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1.8KJun 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$411.36Jun 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$2.9KJun 13, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $701.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 01:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 14:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.