0x5946ad9e5536fc2962afd33c61203a05b65d0941
0x5946ad9e5536fc2962afd33c61203a05b65d0941
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$210.96
Total PnL
$21.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
178 shares @ 34.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$174.68
$113.06
- YES
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
11 shares @ 49.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$10.82
$5.46
- YES
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$5.00
$1.75
- UP
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 13?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$5.00
$0.35
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$4.99
$1.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$4.83
$2.22
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
61 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.40
$-13.38
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
105 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.16
$-27.79
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
33 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.08
$-2.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$1.83Apr 14, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$1.83Apr 14, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$2.08Apr 14, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$2.08Apr 14, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$2.21Apr 14, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$2.36Apr 14, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$2.68Apr 14, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$2.67Apr 14, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$3.04Apr 14, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$3.04Apr 14, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$3.23Apr 14, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$3.41Apr 14, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$1.43Apr 14, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$1.80Apr 14, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$1.51Apr 14, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$1.90Apr 14, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$1.59Apr 14, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$2.01Apr 14, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$1.68Apr 14, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$2.12Apr 14, 17:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.