0x595651219c3f6cbb5eb37fae5ced4c6caf4907cb
0x595651219c3f6cbb5eb37fae5ced4c6caf4907cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$56.86
Total PnL
$-9.04
Realised
$-1.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Alysa Liu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.85
$-2.25
- YES
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.13
$0.03
- YES
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$3.93
$0.18
- NO
Will Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.91
$-0.24
- NO
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.82
$-0.78
- NO
Will Reid Wiseman be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.59
$-0.86
- NO
Will Shehbaz Sharif be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.55
$-1.00
- NO
Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.52
$-0.93
- NO
Will G2 qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.30
$0.25
- NO
Will Jeremy Hansen be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.24
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026?$4.47Jun 4, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.92Jun 4, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman be TIME Person of the Year 2026?$4.28Jun 4, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.14Jun 4, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.98Jun 3, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.12Jun 3, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.74Jun 3, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.87Jun 3, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2.15Jun 3, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.93Jun 3, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.72Jun 3, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.39Jun 3, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.50Jun 3, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2.12Jun 3, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2.67Jun 3, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$4.54Jun 3, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeremy Hansen be TIME Person of the Year 2026?$4.24Jun 3, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?$4.19Jun 3, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alysa Liu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?$4.57Jun 3, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$0.47Jun 3, 15:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 16:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 03:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".