Insubstantial-Belligerency
0x59d7a43d0919cc9d800dbdbc545deefbfbd8ba8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$21.1K
Total PnL
$185.17
Realised
$62.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
7084 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.0K
$-18.78
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5110 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.1K
$12.64
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
4918 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.9K
$75.82
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
1300 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.3K
$29.10
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1015 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$918.56
$15.22
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
663 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$659.64
$3.37
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
530 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$525.50
$-3.87
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
500 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$498.50
$14.50
- YES
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
200 shares @ 99.7¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 17, 2026$193.60
$-5.80
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO on June 11, 2026?
91 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$91.00
$0.18
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$377.32Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$216.38Jun 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$393.28Jun 13, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.3KJun 13, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$3.2KJun 13, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$988.47Jun 13, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$194.28Jun 13, 10:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?$2.0KJun 12, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$768.31Jun 12, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$15.1KJun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?$6.28Jun 12, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?$2.1KJun 12, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?$1.7KJun 12, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?$418.29Jun 12, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?$6.27Jun 12, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$766.83Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?$2.0KJun 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$15.1KJun 12, 18:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$19.5K
Trades
2
Buy share
100%
Window
May 29, 06:00 UTC → Jun 1, 05:46 UTC
- BUYWill Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$9.5K@100¢Jun 1, 05:46 UTC
- BUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$10.0K@100¢May 29, 05:59 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$19.5K
2 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
$10.0K · 51% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $2.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 05:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.