Alarming-Entry
0x5a3b863b4325c6fcef6c80828dca1ddc77febd3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$144.59
Total PnL
$-407.14
Realised
$-5.09
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- YES
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2833 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$15.58
$-7.45
- NO
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?
917 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.67
$-8.98
- YES
James Norton announced as next James Bond?
3000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.50
$-10.50
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
375 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$9.19
$-3.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 23?
2042 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 23, 2026$7.15
$1.15
- YES
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
1167 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$6.13
$1.13
- NO
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.60
$-1.55
- YES
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
833 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.42
$-0.99
- YES
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 23?$1.05May 22, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 23?$1.05May 22, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 55°F or below on May 23?$1.05May 22, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$5.72May 22, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2.07May 22, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.03May 22, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.04May 22, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00May 22, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.07May 22, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$2.14May 22, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?$2.98May 22, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 23?$0.10May 22, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?$0.45May 22, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 23?$0.10May 22, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?$2.93May 22, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$5.24May 22, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 23?$0.10May 22, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 23?$1.68May 22, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?$4.77May 22, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?$2.60May 22, 16:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 17:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".