Forsaken-Accomplishment
0x5a4bee0a465efd4cdba65963760b3a7438cbf3b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$151.68
Total PnL
$1.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?
364 shares @ 22.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$92.73
$12.73
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.28
$1.28
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 32.9¢·now 39.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.96
$1.96
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 14.6¢·now 21.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.41
$2.41
- YES
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
8 shares @ 59.4¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$6.14
$1.14
- YES
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.72
$0.72
- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.57
$-5.43
- YES
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.53
$-0.47
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
14 shares @ 6.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
86 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?$2.32Jul 10, 12:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$5.08Jul 9, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?$0.00Jul 9, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?$12.48Jul 9, 19:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jul 6, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.20Jul 6, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?$9.10Jul 6, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?$1.04Jul 6, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$5.56Jul 6, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?$2.01Jul 4, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?$2.06Jul 3, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$3.04Jul 3, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-01?$8.93Jul 1, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $10.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.