0x5a6978e7887c70cb5e8f9e1e96700f8b978494ac
0x5a6978e7887c70cb5e8f9e1e96700f8b978494ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$26.14
Total PnL
$7.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.88
$4.88
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.55
$3.55
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.78
$1.78
- YES
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.70
$1.70
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.20
$0.20
- YES
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.19
$-0.81
- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.00Feb 15, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$2.11Feb 15, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$4.32Feb 15, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$1.76Feb 15, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$2.00Feb 15, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$2.03Feb 15, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$2.04Feb 15, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$2.39Feb 15, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?$2.65Feb 15, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$3.75Feb 15, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.97Feb 15, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$4.65Feb 15, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?$4.69Feb 15, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$4.78Feb 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.94Feb 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.94Feb 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.06Feb 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?$5.09Feb 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$5.26Feb 15, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Somalia next?$0.00Feb 15, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $17.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 06:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.