Grandiose-Something
0x5a8df27cc25e05b088f7c100e793be449f2864e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$213.02
Total PnL
$-18.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
83 shares @ 81.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$78.48
$10.48
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 90.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$54.94
$2.94
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
38 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$35.94
$0.94
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
39 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
160 shares @ 6.2¢·now 5.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.21
$-0.79
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?
30 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.50
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$10.47May 16, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLITF Gaborone: Maayan Laron vs Elena Jamshidi$18.96May 16, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$3.05May 16, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 16, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Gaborone: Maayan Laron vs Elena Jamshidi$15.09May 16, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves $16.30May 16, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 15, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$3.02May 15, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$30.00May 15, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-14?$33.63May 15, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.00May 14, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 14, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-14?$30.10May 14, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by May 31?$51.95May 14, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves $15.04May 14, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by May 31?$50.00May 14, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$35.00May 14, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$32.00May 9, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?$32.22May 8, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?$30.06May 8, 20:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $21.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 14:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".