Odd-Sewer-Crust
0x5aab49ec3ecf4ca28e81de03e20138d8b2d83bbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$56.99
Total PnL
$-106.72
Realised
$-4.01
Win rate
0%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?
10 shares @ 83.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$9.51
$1.56
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
8 shares @ 92.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.08
$0.58
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.12
$0.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 89.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.48
$0.27
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.98
$0.17
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 65.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.69
$1.08
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.53
$0.63
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 85.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.58
$0.50
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$3.18
$0.34
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 69.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.09
$0.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 30, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
31 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 09:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.