Near-Spacing
0x5ad872306a03db06e0ebb8367823b13a4dd59756
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$838.47
Total PnL
$273.45
Realised
$-8.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$520.00
$320.00
- NO
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
221 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$221.00
$97.24
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
94 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$94.00
$16.92
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.77
$0.13
- YES
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
1 shares @ 23.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.47
$0.23
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
50 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.23
$-16.27
- YES
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
441 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-136.71
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?$0.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on March 24, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$0.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?$0.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?$0.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMHamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMEast Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals$316.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMLevante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5$0.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-07?$0.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMDundee United FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 27, 5AM ET$0.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?$0.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMMichigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls$330.00Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?$28.38Apr 27, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$2.00Apr 27, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$136.71Apr 23, 10:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $163.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 07:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.