Digital-Crab
0x5afba739333776724d4f4b3f3f05e501e2cc92ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-6.27
Win rate
63%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12483 shares @ 8.1¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.0K
$6.25
- YES
Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
5 shares @ 4.5¢·now 19.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.01
$0.78
- YES
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
3 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.07
$-0.06
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
3 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.09
- YES
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.03
$-0.05
- YES
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
3 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.03
$-0.10
- YES
Will Kyle Duyck win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
6 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.02
$-0.27
- YES
Will Chael Sonnen win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
6 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.01
$-0.27
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.01
$-1.32
- YES
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
3 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00May 15, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?$0.01May 15, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00May 15, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00May 15, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$0.01May 15, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?$0.02May 15, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?$0.02May 15, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$0.02May 15, 23:18 UTC
- CONVERSIONLouisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner$0.16May 15, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.24May 15, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.36May 15, 23:16 UTC
- CONVERSIONBest Chinese AI Company end of May?$0.78May 15, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?$0.01May 15, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?$0.01May 15, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?$0.70May 15, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.21May 15, 23:14 UTC
- CONVERSION2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion $0.18May 15, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$0.23May 15, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$0.81May 15, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$0.70May 15, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $0.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 22:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 23:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".