Evil-Mincemeat
0x5b0111a2031652141c9540f38cb08a82c405d6d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.92
Total PnL
$-38.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- KHAMZAT CHIMAEV
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
5 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
5 shares @ 65.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 20, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.68Jul 19, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 19, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.02Jul 19, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.03Jul 19, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$1.02Jul 16, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.14Jul 15, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.36Jul 15, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04Jul 15, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04Jul 15, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.93Jul 15, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$0.85Jul 15, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.25Jul 15, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 15, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Lionel Messi: 2+ goals$0.49Jul 15, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 14, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.24Jul 14, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.45Jul 14, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.00Jul 14, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 14, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 06:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.