Improbable-Unemployment
0x5b6f2a25218006c3c21a63bae4eabcb8bb4afa89
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$10.92
Total PnL
$0.01
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.31
$0.01
- NO
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.90
$0.00
- NO
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.40
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.40May 16, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.90May 14, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$2.30May 14, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 9, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.10May 9, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.69May 9, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$3.49May 9, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.10May 8, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.70May 5, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$3.50May 4, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$1.50Apr 27, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.19Apr 27, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.37Apr 27, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$1.50Apr 25, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.20Apr 19, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.40Apr 10, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?$0.00Apr 10, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?$0.00Apr 10, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.50Mar 31, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 17:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".