Negligible-Patina
0x5b86175ab90e7743ed94b357b2e2ad683fac491f
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$4.18
Total PnL
$-239.43
Realised
$-10.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.18
$-0.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 14?
1134 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.03
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
230 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
122 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.95
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
114 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
92 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-26.73
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 22?
91 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
84 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$11.90Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$47.62May 17, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00May 10, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$10.24May 10, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$71.35May 3, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$15.71May 2, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$4.63May 2, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$36.09Apr 25, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$14.28Apr 21, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$18.93Apr 21, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 21, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$5.00Apr 21, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$20.00Apr 21, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$13.61Apr 21, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.00Apr 21, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$10.00Apr 21, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$25.61Apr 21, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$7.74Apr 21, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$7.74Apr 21, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$2.50Apr 21, 00:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $11.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.