Better-Disregard
0x5b8686ac0a5a8bc06263ee04443b512540f07ac4
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$14.16
Total PnL
$-9.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
6 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.92
$0.17
- SANDRO KOPP
Mauthausen: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sandro Kopp
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$3.16
$0.19
- NO
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?
3 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
2 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Vietnam win Intervision 2025?
8 shares @ 93.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.76Apr 29, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLHuman moon landing in 2026?$3.94Apr 28, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMauthausen: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sandro Kopp$2.98Apr 28, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$2.00Apr 28, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$3.00Apr 28, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?$1.86Apr 28, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$6.12Apr 28, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?$1.81Mar 30, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuman moon landing in 2026?$4.00Mar 30, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?$3.00Mar 30, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$6.59Mar 30, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$2.23Mar 30, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$5.75Feb 28, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$6.00Feb 28, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$3.00Feb 28, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 20?$3.06Feb 28, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$4.04Feb 28, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$7.65Feb 28, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$7.42Jan 20, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$4.00Jan 20, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $73.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 09:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.