Utilized-Wingtip
0x5b989f6afa0779c7c38edf339a42af3dbcd83dcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$26.78
Total PnL
$37.66
Realised
$134.06
Win rate
4%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 75.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.90
$0.38
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.86
$0.36
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 30.1¢·now 47.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.57
$0.57
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
4 shares @ 39.1¢·now 35.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.36
$-0.14
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.18
$0.17
- NO
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 73.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.13
$-0.38
- NO
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.13
$0.08
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.13
$0.07
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 74.9¢·now 84.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.13
$0.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.14Aug 4, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.72Jul 20, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?$4.54Jul 1, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?$4.49Jul 1, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$23.33Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.19Jun 27, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$11.15Jun 25, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEcuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5$3.03Jun 25, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$6.08Jun 25, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$7.69Jun 22, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$2.88Jun 22, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$1.20Jun 20, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$8.46Jun 16, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$5.33Jun 16, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$2.02Jun 14, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$2.02Jun 14, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$1.01Jun 14, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$1.02Jun 14, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$2.06Jun 14, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$1.04Jun 14, 18:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:54 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 18:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.