Glum-Plough
0x5bc9f7b91fb41c53381314d116ed442d76cdd8c8
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$10.59
Total PnL
$0.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Chocolate" during his next video?
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.80
$1.00
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.15
$1.05
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.84
$-1.16
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Island" during his next video?
5 shares @ 31.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.80
$-0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Island" during his next video?$1.592d ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Chocolate" during his next video?$3.892d ago
- REDEEMWill "Open source" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$4.962d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Open source" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$3.908d ago
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$3.1012d ago
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$9.8516d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "War" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$0.0025d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$6.6026d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "War" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$1.2030d ago
- REDEEMFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$0.0030d ago
- REDEEMFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$7.1030d ago
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$0.7556d ago
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$5.6361d ago
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.0062d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.0062d ago
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$1.0062d ago
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.0062d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 62d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".