Humongous-Constraint
0x5bdeea273fe5749226ff98cdd1c4925e0ac46706
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$90.53
Total PnL
$-40.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
19 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
18 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$18.24
$0.24
- NO
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
14 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.24
$0.24
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.83
$0.83
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
8 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- NO
SBF released from custody in 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.31
$0.31
- NO
Will GMR Solutions' market cap be between $4.5B and $5.0B at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
12 shares @ 98.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill GMR Solutions' market cap be between $4.5B and $5.0B at market close on IPO day?$3.00May 13, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?$5.02May 13, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$11.00May 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$7.00May 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$18.01May 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$19.02May 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton divorce by June 30?$14.00May 13, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.4%?$6.10May 13, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's latest video get 68 million or more views on day 4?$7.03May 13, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$7.38May 13, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Samira Sagr win Big Brother Brasil 26?$8.15May 13, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill "I Just Might - Bruno Mars" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 18?$9.04May 13, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?$10.75May 13, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Patek Index hit $109,000 (HIGH) by April 30?$11.32May 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.4%?$6.00Apr 8, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Patek Index hit $109,000 (HIGH) by April 30?$11.00Apr 8, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?$10.00Apr 8, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I Just Might - Bruno Mars" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 18?$9.00Apr 8, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get 68 million or more views on day 4?$7.00Apr 8, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Body to Body - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$4.01Apr 8, 13:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $16.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 00:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 12:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.