Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.2pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 5¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.3pp
to 5¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.3pp
to 5¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.6pp
to 16¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.6pp
to 16¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.6pp
to 16¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.6pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.3pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.7pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.6pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.6pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.9pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.3pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.3pp
to 16¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 17¢0.0pp
Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?
Science · Vol $0.00
- 18¢0.0pp
Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?
Science · Vol $10.00
- 10¢-11.0pp
Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?
Science · Vol $0.00
- 13¢0.0pp
Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?
Science · Vol $0.00
- 5¢-2.5pp
Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?
Science · Vol $0.00
- 5¢0.0pp
Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?
Science · Vol $0.00
- 4¢-0.4pp
Will SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?
Science · Vol $0.00
- 2¢-0.1pp
Will SpaceX raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?
Science · Vol $0.00
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (6.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).