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ScienceMulti-outcomeExpires

Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?

Probability

1h

+0.2pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+2.9pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:21
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -11.3pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 07:00Price

    Probability down -11.3pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 01:00Price

    Probability up 11.6pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 11.6pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 11.6pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 11.6pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.3pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.7pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.6pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.6pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.9pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.3pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.3pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (6.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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