Recent-Relief
0x5be0015daa74cb321ce03d9a45d267eef76eb065
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.38
Total PnL
$-23.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.38
$-1.62
- YES
Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by December 31?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
72 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
30 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAbdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by December 31?$5.00Dec 12, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by December 31?$5.00Dec 12, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?$0.00Nov 9, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Nov 9, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$0.00Nov 9, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$0.00Nov 9, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$58.39Nov 6, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$2.51Nov 6, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$2.86Nov 6, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$5.00Nov 6, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$16.93Nov 6, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$10.18Nov 6, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$0.00Oct 30, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$4.00Oct 30, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$44.10Oct 20, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$0.17Oct 20, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$0.13Oct 20, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$16.05Oct 19, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$1.22Oct 19, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$7.68Oct 18, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $27.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 15:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".