Secondary-Lining
0x5c2119204e2cfae998b65a1ceb75bcb32cc8c52c
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$37.79
Total PnL
$-227.78
Realised
$44.29
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.60
$0.60
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 79.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.26
$0.78
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.87
$-4.13
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.42
$2.42
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
30 shares @ 4.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.64
$0.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 12?
1030 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- MISA ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group B
123 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
- HYPERSPIRIT
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Play-In
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
80 shares @ 67.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- INFURITY GAMING
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
75 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$10.89Jun 24, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-22?$0.00Jun 23, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-22?$10.27Jun 22, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$0.00Jun 22, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$1.50Jun 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$19.30Jun 21, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3.00Jun 21, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$1.00Jun 18, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$0.40Jun 18, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$5.10Jun 18, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$7.60Jun 18, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$12.00Jun 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$10.20Jun 16, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin not meet?$31.00Jun 15, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?$9.48Jun 15, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$9.60Jun 15, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$27.74Jun 15, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$3.03Jun 15, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$5.92Jun 15, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.85Jun 15, 04:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 10:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.