0x5c27bdd77d8608965751ca9066b9267ebf7fe4e2
0x5c27bdd77d8608965751ca9066b9267ebf7fe4e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$59.79
Total PnL
$-607.70
Realised
$0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.56
$-69.44
- NO
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
722 shares @ 41.5¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$29.24
$-270.76
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
2439 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
489 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-156.00
- DEMOCRATIC
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
28 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?$20.52Jul 24, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?$158.29Jun 4, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charli XCX announce a new album by July 31?$35.62Jun 1, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$14.51May 28, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$307.01May 7, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$102.77May 7, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$139.59May 7, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charli XCX announce a new album by July 31?$8.63May 5, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charli XCX announce a new album by July 31?$0.75May 5, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$103.28May 5, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$310.21May 5, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicole Kidman wear Chanel at the Met Gala?$38.58May 5, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?$150.39May 4, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicole Kidman wear Chanel at the Met Gala?$13.29May 4, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicole Kidman wear Chanel at the Met Gala?$22.67May 4, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charli XCX announce a new album by July 31?$15.00May 4, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?$6.12May 4, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?$4.45May 4, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$100.00Mar 16, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,000 on November 15?$4.71Mar 16, 18:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $53.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 12:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.