Delayed-Wetland-Proceedings
0x5c3ec5f607911cd9f2a3a6ef76b267b277c18741
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$29.71
Total PnL
$0.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- VILIUS GAUBAS
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$5.01
$1.60
- DIANA SHNAIDER
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonova
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$5.00
$2.05
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.53
$0.58
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.28
$-0.03
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.83
$0.13
- PEYTON STEARNS
The Memphis Classic: Elvina Kalieva vs Peyton Stearns
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$3.13
$-0.03
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.83
$-0.03
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- UNDER
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.01Jul 31, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLMubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen$2.40Jul 31, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen$4.39Jul 31, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro$3.41Jul 31, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonova$2.95Jul 31, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Memphis Classic: Elvina Kalieva vs Peyton Stearns$3.21Jul 31, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMMubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Naomi Osaka$5.01Jul 31, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMVancouver: Maddison Inglis vs Mai Hontama$5.01Jul 31, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Naomi Osaka$4.19Jul 31, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYVancouver: Maddison Inglis vs Mai Hontama$4.19Jul 31, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMMubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskaya$5.01Jul 31, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLTargu Mures: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lucia Bronzetti$1.24Jul 31, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLTargu Mures: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lucia Bronzetti$0.97Jul 31, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskaya$4.41Jul 31, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lucia Bronzetti$3.95Jul 31, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner$5.01Jul 31, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMTargu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Carole Monnet$5.01Jul 31, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMLiberec: Jan Kumstat vs Frederico Ferreira Silva$5.01Jul 31, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner$4.51Jul 31, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberec: Jan Kumstat vs Frederico Ferreira Silva$4.00Jul 31, 10:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 01:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 22:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.