Speedy-Plot
0x5c47ab436b946c3b70590b4ab1313b574c0c9b02
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-210.4K
Realised
$-8.81
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
9086 shares @ 19.6¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$262.83
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
461 shares @ 58.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$460.64
$190.64
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
355 shares @ 71.7¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$228.97
$-25.62
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$194.00
$34.00
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
400 shares @ 14.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$136.00
$80.00
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
300 shares @ 40.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$130.48
$10.50
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 9.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$92.00
$32.00
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$63.25
$3.25
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
300 shares @ 17.5¢·now 11.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.95
$-17.55
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1350 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.29
$8.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.