Productive-Baboon
0x5c67ca3650463cbb70fcc1ff918ae12edfdd0cac
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
87
Open notional
$403.40
Total PnL
$-299.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
114 shares @ 17.6¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$40.40
$20.40
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 8.3¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.18
$10.18
- YES
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.73
$4.73
- YES
Will TSMC (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?
16 shares @ 96.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$14.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
115 shares @ 17.4¢·now 12.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.31
$-5.69
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
177 shares @ 11.3¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.83
$-7.17
- YES
Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$10.23
$0.33
- NO
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.04
$0.04
- NO
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
11 shares @ 94.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.88
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?$9.30Jul 5, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?$9.60Jul 5, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?$9.50Jul 5, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?$9.00Jul 5, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?$9.10Jul 5, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 in July?$9.30Jul 5, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$7.70Jul 5, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?$9.80Jul 5, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?$9.10Jul 5, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?$9.10Jul 5, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?$9.39Jul 5, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TSMC (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?$15.03Jul 5, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?$3.13Jul 5, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?$8.16Jul 5, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?$8.30Jul 5, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?$8.35Jul 5, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$5.10Jul 5, 03:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.41Jul 4, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.64Jul 4, 02:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $8.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 06:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 10:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.