Blaring-Inhibition
0x5c7bd15c159659f5d39ad30d089f7f6d0dc5d463
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$361.25
Total PnL
$-555.06
Realised
$13.80
Win rate
60%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
211 shares @ 6.6¢·now 10.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.03
$8.04
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
40 shares @ 39.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$20.20
$4.60
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
1905 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.15
$-17.63
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
20 shares @ 62.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$16.30
$3.90
- YES
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 10.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.45
$13.95
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1096 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.35
$-23.63
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
668 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.03
$-0.58
- YES
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
204 shares @ 3.5¢·now 6.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.08
$6.96
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
1057 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.21
$2.64
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
577 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$12.99
$-0.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$0.57Jun 19, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$11.88Jun 19, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$0.23Jun 19, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.03Jun 19, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.03Jun 19, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.03Jun 19, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.03Jun 19, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.03Jun 19, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$7.54Jun 19, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$0.01Jun 19, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$0.07Jun 19, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.19Jun 19, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?$0.38Jun 18, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?$0.01Jun 18, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?$0.03Jun 18, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?$0.04Jun 18, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.84Jun 18, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.86Jun 18, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$5.09Jun 18, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$0.62Jun 18, 18:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
35 closed markets, 60% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.