Metallic-Hardship-Necessity
0x5c8e3aa9bb80b7f0ef234451f693af6cba118d30
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$63.30
Realised
$5.79
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
1027 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.0K
$7.70
- NO
Will Ashley Trail come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?
919 shares @ 95.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$902.99
$28.03
- NO
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
527 shares @ 95.2¢·now 95.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$501.07
$-1.16
- YES
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?
410 shares @ 91.3¢·now 93.1¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$382.14
$7.35
- NO
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
426 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$356.05
$-2.13
- NO
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?
332 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$329.46
$7.79
- NO
Will Yash Patel be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 2)?
255 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$254.62
$0.23
- NO
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?
200 shares @ 92.2¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$187.60
$3.20
- NO
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
188 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$186.41
$0.09
- NO
Will Mallory Aurichio be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 2)?
179 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$177.86
$-0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?$76.99Jul 23, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?$20.01Jul 23, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?$92.10Jul 23, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill no press briefing air by July 31?$35.00Jul 23, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?$79.82Jul 23, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Brown be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 2)?$65.53Jul 23, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lyric Medeiros be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 2)?$68.62Jul 23, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dee Valladares be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 2)?$57.38Jul 23, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mallory Aurichio be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 2)?$68.62Jul 23, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?$2.85Jul 23, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?$18.19Jul 23, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?$53.16Jul 23, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no press briefing air by July 31?$34.97Jul 23, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?$11.28Jul 23, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?$7.36Jul 23, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?$10.42Jul 23, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yash Patel be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 2)?$154.71Jul 23, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mallory Aurichio be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 2)?$99.81Jul 23, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chuk Anyanwu be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 2)?$99.81Jul 23, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Murray be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 2)?$99.71Jul 23, 14:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $51.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 03:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 21:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.