Sweltering-Sorbet
0x5d0cc21c87b69edde38f9002164735e9b1414934
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.15
Total PnL
$-511.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
34 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.15
$-1.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
1072 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
714 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?
709 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?
548 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?
489 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
376 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?
374 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jun 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 3+ goals$25.59Jun 17, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$2.42Mar 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$2.41Mar 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.31Jan 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 89 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.00Jan 17, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 17?$1.00Jan 17, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?$1.00Jan 17, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$1.00Jan 17, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro trial scheduled by January 31?$1.00Jan 7, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$2.00Jan 7, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)$12.31Jan 5, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Monday?$1.00Dec 30, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)$1.00Dec 30, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?$1.00Dec 30, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?$1.00Dec 30, 10:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.