Orderly-Hatchet
0x5d25aaf74c41dce52835288afeae835ec0377048
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$8.06
Total PnL
$-222.60
Realised
$-48.39
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
27 shares @ 30.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.67
$-3.33
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.19
$-2.81
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?
348 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.74
- NO
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
333 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
163 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
138 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the US strike Cuba next?
124 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$4.00May 25, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$5.00May 22, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.79May 15, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$0.04May 10, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.04May 10, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.04May 10, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.03May 10, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 7?$3.00May 7, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?$3.10May 4, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$3.00May 2, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$0.91May 2, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$13.17May 2, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$5.00Apr 24, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$12.00Apr 23, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 20, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$2.83Apr 20, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.00Apr 18, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$5.00Apr 18, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$5.00Apr 18, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 13?$9.00Apr 13, 11:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.