Discrete-Shorts
0x5d48cd846f8790e3eb2eed8fe26b8a28d17d135d
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.88
Total PnL
$-344.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.88
$-0.12
- NETS
Pacers vs. Nets
20 shares @ 72.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-14.47
- HORNETS
Pistons vs. Hornets
16 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.89
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Hawks
16 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.11
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Kings
15 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-11.49
- WARRIORS
Lakers vs. Warriors
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.91
- ROCKETS
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
- THUNDER
Suns vs. Thunder
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.